Kentucky Derby Pick // May 5th, 2007

I am picking Nobiz Like Shobiz to win the Kentucky Derby, beating out the favorites Curlin and Street Sense. I also like Hard Spun, but I think he’ll tire in the stretch.

Later: Wow, Street Sense comes from second to last about half-way through the race to win it, over Hard Spun. Hard Spun didn’t tire and proved he belonged. Street Sense wasn’t lucky to get traffic to clear, other horses had great placement but didn’t do anything, like Nobiz Like Shobiz. Preakness in two weeks!

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Past Performances Tutorial // May 3rd, 2007

The 133rd running of the Kentucky Derby is this Saturday and if you’re a beginner horse player like me, then you’ll want to be prepared with your picks. The Daily Racing Form has a great Flash-based tutorial to help people figure out how to read Past Performance(PP) data. The problem beginners have with PP data is that it needs to present so much information in a limited space that the numbers and text, at first glance, seem to be simply thrown together. This tutorial reveals the method to the madness.

Later: Equibase and NTRA are providing free Past Performance data sheets (scroll down for the banner, under ‘Race Entries’) for the Kentucky Derby.

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